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Two stories are pulling the tape in opposite directions this morning. The AI infrastructure trade is still doing the heavy lifting on the upside, with memory and chip names leading, and a couple of consumer-facing retailers are catching strong bids on guidance that simply didn't disappoint. In this tape, holding the line is enough.

The damage is concentrated in software. A soft current-quarter guide from one cloud security name is taking down its closest peers in sympathy. The market is grading on the forward number, not the print. Add a medical device manufacturing flag and a sporting goods retailer that reaffirmed a guide the street already thought was too low, and the red on the screen has one thing in common: expectations going forward got worse, not better.

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P.S. I took $57k and turned it into $1.87M using BlackRock's system. Learn the exact three-phase framework I reverse-engineered →

Bath & Body Works (BBWI): +12%

The retailer popped after delivering current-quarter guidance that came in ahead of where the street had it pinned. In a tape that's been punishing soft consumer guides all earnings season, simply not flinching was enough to get the stock moving.

Semtech (SMTC): +12%

Semtech beat last quarter's numbers and then guided the current quarter above expectations on earnings, margins, and EBITDA. That kind of clean across-the-board raise is rare right now, and for a chipmaker tied to data center connectivity, the AI infrastructure trade is doing the rest of the work.

Micron Technology (MU): +7%

The chipmaker is extending its rally a day after crossing $1 trillion in market cap. Memory has been the cleanest expression of the AI buildout this year, and the trillion-dollar milestone is fueling rather than capping the move.

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF): +4%

First-quarter earnings blew past expectations, even though revenue came up just short and the current-quarter guide was softer than the street wanted. Apparel retail has had a rough run, so a strong bottom-line beat is enough to lift the stock despite the weaker spots around it.

MGM Resorts International (MGM): +4%

JPMorgan upgraded the casino operator to overweight, arguing that U.S. leisure travelers are holding up better than the macro narrative suggests and that Las Vegas Strip growth is set to surprise to the upside. Consumer-facing names have been getting downgraded all year, so an upgrade on the back of resilient travel demand is a real shift in tone from the sell side.

Zscaler (ZS): -23%

The cloud security name’s current-quarter revenue guide came in below where the street had it pegged. In software right now, guidance is the only number the market cares about, and a soft one is being treated as a verdict on the broader cyber trade.

Insulet (PODD): -4%

The medical device maker announced a voluntary correction across specific lots of its insulin pods after a manufacturing issue that could result in under-delivery to patients. For a company whose entire pitch is the reliability of a life-critical device, a manufacturing flag is the kind of headline that sticks until the scope is clear.

Palo Alto Networks (PANW): -4%

The cybersecurity peer is selling off in sympathy with Zscaler's guidance miss, with CrowdStrike also lower in the same trade. When one name in a tight sector group sets a weaker bar, the rest of the cohort gets repriced before anyone has read past the headline.

Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS): -2%

The retailer reaffirmed full-year guidance that sits below where analysts had it modeled, with first-quarter earnings also coming in a touch light.

Box (BOX): -2%

The content management software provider beat on the quarter but guided full-year earnings below where the street wanted them. Like Zscaler, it's another reminder that in software right now, the print barely registers if the guide is light.

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Salesforce (CRM)

Salesforce reports after the bell tonight, and the chatter going in is unusually loud for a name that's been quiet in premarket. Options traders are pricing in a move of nearly 9% in either direction, almost double its typical post-earnings swing, and Reddit threads on r/wallstreetbets and r/investing have been arguing the bull-and-bear case all week.

The setup is a real split. Bank of America just slapped an Underperform on the stock with a $160 target, while the analyst consensus sits near $260, and the make-or-break number tonight is whether Agentforce annual recurring revenue accelerated from the $800 million it printed last quarter. With shares down roughly 30% year-to-date heading in, tonight could be the print that either confirms the AI agent story is working or hands the bears their thesis.